Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 37.834261 43.447518 49.504205 56.512302 64.384545 72.940797 82.930532
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 28.722162 36.670158 46.050824 57.874874 72.310472 89.286434 110.679710
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 21.343418 29.756637 40.444833 54.877261 73.693434 97.211646 128.622510
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 18.092385 27.110140 39.270892 56.619256 80.434455 111.638825 155.206554
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 16.096870 25.671177 39.259836 59.567176 88.671029 128.318256 185.716436
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 13.386839 22.694417 36.577906 58.273114 90.664221 136.433659 204.969871
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 10.939051 19.681155 33.362380 55.672276 90.292666 140.914215 219.125696
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 10.240536 19.334208 34.125943 59.079458 99.000106 158.954352 253.863810
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.949596 19.608432 35.865413 64.119594 110.535225 181.874500 297.189810
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.936817 18.456890 35.085149 64.925300 115.354039 194.785677 326.040969
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.921757 17.142743 33.850821 64.792837 118.547024 205.251416 351.595168
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.978572 15.818192 32.425612 64.142483 120.738694 214.141568 375.030165
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.227680 14.812853 31.556279 64.556485 125.067455 227.266286 406.937982
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.575038 13.919618 30.813351 65.166597 129.868729 241.644317 442.094895
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.586220 12.121788 28.056353 61.649492 126.891234 242.534634 454.634350
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.244527 11.725898 28.085611 63.539263 134.015425 261.381518 498.950757
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.052070 11.649511 28.769993 66.793828 143.950560 285.787482 554.282314
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.513983 10.624065 27.261846 65.359665 144.659397 293.525513 580.467863
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.951895 9.422824 25.188632 62.479633 142.210169 295.209569 595.729525
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.878875 9.521002 26.132489 66.251640 153.511833 323.315416 660.845759
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.909545 9.914152 27.820673 71.826978 168.915200 360.041591 743.718993
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.671229 9.490919 27.465637 72.717761 174.534772 378.179316 792.538606
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.405489 8.933458 26.700786 72.571318 177.905710 392.072022 833.935190